Election Update
This is probably pointless as it will change. It's 4.40 am here and the night has not remotely gone as was expected. The pollsters will need to do some reassessing. The margin of error will be leant on quite heavily. It looks like Arizona, presently 75% submitted and Virginia still remaining to be counted in some major Democratic areas.
But those high hopes for Florida and Texas have been dashed. Ohio, Georgia (could still squeeze something), North Carolina - all look lost causes.
So, Arizona, with its presently sizeable Democratic advantage, and the Rust Belt is the pathway for Biden.
As I said earlier tonight: the only surprise that could see Trump winning or putting a major spanner in the works is invigorating and energising his base to get out and vote in the day. And that's exactly what has happened. So hats off to him and his campaign for mobilising voters to turn out.
The Midwest. Wisconsin Michigan, Pennsylvania. And they will take some time. Even Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District and Maine; 2nd Congressional District are going to potentially be important.
Anyway, if anyone is up for it, go for a discussion below. Trump's chances are fair. It's anyone's guess. Surprises are happening and I might have to eat my polling words. Trump will definitely be challenging in court if he loses. It's going to be close either way. EDIT. Thank goodness, Biden just switched to take the lead in Virginia. Phew.
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